CORONAVIRUS DATAHUB
UK Population Vaccinated
Dose 1: 69% - Dose 2: 57.16%
UK Epidemic Wavecast
Increasing Decreasing
Important Notice:
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The ZOE COVID Symptom Study team, yesterday updated their model for predicting SARS-CoV-2 new cases and prevalence (see: ZOE Updated Model), which is shown as a red line in the graph above. Their data which previously underestimated COVID cases in the UK, now agrees very closely with ONS infection survey data, Imperial College React-1 study data, and also our in-house XiScience swab test derived prevalence model.
Please clear web browser cache to see effect on bubble chart above
- 22nd July 21 -
Datapanel Update:
We have two new visual metrics on our coronavirus Datapanel below. These track the link between COVID cases, hospitalisation, and mortality. These metrics are a surrogate for changing SARS-CoV-2 strain virulence, taking into account ongoing mitigation measures, such as social distancing and vaccination; see: UK Virulence Metrics.
These metrics, which are derived from our in-house XiScience prevalence model, show the link between infections and hospitalisations/mortality. If the hypothesis that this link has been either strongly weakened or broken by the UK vaccination programme, then the number of hospitalisations/deaths per 100,000 active cases should continue to fall as active cases increase.
- 13th July 21 -
New Cases
UK Positive Tests
Calibrated no. of UK swab tests returning a positive result (incidence).
Active Cases
XiScience Model
Estimated no. of actively infectious cases of SARS-CoV-2 in UK using our in-house model
Active Cases
Symptom Study Data
Estimated no. of active symptomatic cases of SARS-CoV-2 in UK from COVID Symptom Study
Active Cases
Infection Survey Data
Estimated no. of active cases of SARS-CoV-2 in England (grey) and UK (blue), from national random swab testing
Active Cases
R(<50) = 1.08, R(≥50) = 1.16
Prevalence (%) by age in England (13 Jun 21 - 24 Jul 21). Blue: Age <50, Green: Age 50+.
Active Cases
Young : Old Ratio
The number of under 25s (blue) and 12s (green) with active COVID for every over 50 with active COVID.
Mortality
Changes in Mortality
L.Blue: 28 Day deaths by pub date; D.Blue: 28 Day deaths by death date; Red: All with COVID on cert.
Virulence
Hospitalisation Ratio
The daily number of COVID hospitalisations per 100,000 actively infectious cases in UK.
Virulence
Mortality Ratio
The daily number of COVID deaths per 100,000 actively infectious cases in UK.
R Number
UK R = 0.92 - 0.89
Estimation of current UK nCoV19 basic reproduction number (R), based on Symptom Study data
R Number
UK R = 0.84 - 0.78
Estimation of current UK nCoV19 basic reproduction number (R), based on swab test data
Vaccination
No. Vaccinated
The daily number of people receiving vaccine first dose (light blue) and second dose (dark blue) in UK.
Immunity
Est. UK Immunity
Estimated national immunity, with possible herd immunity thresholds (HIT).
UK Strains
Strain Prevalence
Estimated percentage of UK SARS-CoV-2 strains with prevalence ≥0.01%.
Mutations
E484 Variance
Estimated percentage of UK SARS-CoV-2 cases containing E484 immunity escape mutation.
Hospitals & Mortality
UK Hospitals Now:
COVID New hospital admissions on 1st Aug 2021 were 727. The average admissions over the seven days up to 1st Aug 2021 was 806, which equates to 19.1% of the January 2021 peak.
COVID Hospital occupancy on 4th Aug 2021 was 5686. The average occupancy over the seven days up to 4th Aug 2021 was 5915, which equates to 15.4% of the January 2021 peak.
UK Mortality Now:
The average number of daily deaths within 28 days of test (by the date reported) over the seven days up to 5th Aug 2021 was 82, which equates to 6.6% of the January 2021 peak.
The average number of daily deaths within 28 days of test (by date of death) over the seven days up to 31st Jul 2021 was 76, which equates to 5.9% of the January 2021 peak.
The average number of daily deaths mentioning COVID on death certificate (by date of death) over the seven days up to 19th Jul 2021 was 53, which equates to 3.9% of the January 2021 peak.
Analysis
Key Links
Disclaimer
All data presented in the charts and analysis on this website come exclusively from external sources. The data is downloaded and updated live using APIs as you peruse this site. This datahub is intended as a convenient portal to access the data, and see a variety of different analytical representations. It is not intended as a primary source, and as such we make no warranties or claims to the authenticity or accuracy of the data presented here; you should access directly the source data for critical decision making.