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CORONAVIRUS DATAHUB

Coronavirus

UK Population Vaccinated

Dose 1: 69%  -   Dose 2: 57.16%

UK Epidemic Wavecast

Increasing                                             Decreasing


Important Notice:

  • The ZOE COVID Symptom Study team, yesterday updated their model for predicting SARS-CoV-2 new cases and prevalence (see: ZOE Updated Model), which is shown as a red line in the graph above. Their data which previously underestimated COVID cases in the UK, now agrees very closely with ONS infection survey data, Imperial College React-1 study data, and also our in-house XiScience swab test derived prevalence model.

    Please clear web browser cache to see effect on bubble chart above

    - 22nd July 21 -

Datapanel Update:

  • We have two new visual metrics on our coronavirus Datapanel below. These track the link between COVID cases, hospitalisation, and mortality. These metrics are a surrogate for changing SARS-CoV-2 strain virulence, taking into account ongoing mitigation measures, such as social distancing and vaccination; see: UK Virulence Metrics.

  • These metrics, which are derived from our in-house XiScience prevalence model, show the link between infections and hospitalisations/mortality. If the hypothesis that this link has been either strongly weakened or broken by the UK vaccination programme, then the number of hospitalisations/deaths per 100,000 active cases should continue to fall as active cases increase.

    - 13th July 21 -

New Cases

UK Positive Tests


Calibrated no. of UK swab tests returning a positive result (incidence).

Active Cases

XiScience Model


Estimated no. of actively infectious cases of SARS-CoV-2 in UK using our in-house model

Active Cases

Symptom Study Data


Estimated no. of active symptomatic cases of SARS-CoV-2 in UK from COVID Symptom Study

Active Cases

Infection Survey Data


Estimated no. of active cases of SARS-CoV-2 in England (grey) and UK (blue), from national random swab testing

Active Cases

R(<50) = 1.08, R(≥50) = 1.16


Prevalence (%) by age in England (13 Jun 21 - 24 Jul 21). Blue: Age <50, Green: Age 50+.

Active Cases

Young : Old Ratio


The number of under 25s (blue) and 12s (green) with active COVID for every over 50 with active COVID.

Hospitals

Hospital Admissions


Number of people newly admitted to UK hospitals with COVID

Hospitals

Hospital Occupancy


Number of people in UK hospitals with confirmed COVID

Mortality

Changes in Mortality


L.Blue: 28 Day deaths by pub date; D.Blue: 28 Day deaths by death date; Red: All with COVID on cert.

Virulence

Hospitalisation Ratio


The daily number of COVID hospitalisations per 100,000 actively infectious cases in UK.

Virulence

Mortality Ratio


The daily number of COVID deaths per 100,000 actively infectious cases in UK.

R Number

UK R = 0.92 - 0.89


Estimation of current UK nCoV19 basic reproduction number (R), based on Symptom Study data

R Number

UK R = 0.84 - 0.78


Estimation of current UK nCoV19 basic reproduction number (R), based on swab test data

Rate Change

Epidemic Growth Rate


Rate of change of UK epidemic: receding (green), growing (red)

Vaccination

No. Vaccinated


The daily number of people receiving vaccine first dose (light blue) and second dose (dark blue) in UK.

Immunity

Est. UK Immunity


Estimated national immunity, with possible herd immunity thresholds (HIT).

UK Strains

Strain Prevalence


Estimated percentage of UK SARS-CoV-2 strains with prevalence ≥0.01%.

Mutations

E484 Variance


Estimated percentage of UK SARS-CoV-2 cases containing E484 immunity escape mutation.

Hospitals & Mortality

UK Hospitals Now:

  • COVID New hospital admissions on 1st Aug 2021 were 727. The average admissions over the seven days up to 1st Aug 2021 was 806, which equates to 19.1% of the January 2021 peak.

  • COVID Hospital occupancy on 4th Aug 2021 was 5686. The average occupancy over the seven days up to 4th Aug 2021 was 5915, which equates to 15.4% of the January 2021 peak.

UK Mortality Now:

  • The average number of daily deaths within 28 days of test (by the date reported) over the seven days up to 5th Aug 2021 was 82, which equates to 6.6% of the January 2021 peak.

  • The average number of daily deaths within 28 days of test (by date of death) over the seven days up to 31st Jul 2021 was 76, which equates to 5.9% of the January 2021 peak.

  • The average number of daily deaths mentioning COVID on death certificate (by date of death) over the seven days up to 19th Jul 2021 was 53, which equates to 3.9% of the January 2021 peak.

Disclaimer

All data presented in the charts and analysis on this website come exclusively from external sources. The data is downloaded and updated live using APIs as you peruse this site. This datahub is intended as a convenient portal to access the data, and see a variety of different analytical representations. It is not intended as a primary source, and as such we make no warranties or claims to the authenticity or accuracy of the data presented here; you should access directly the source data for critical decision making.